Nov. 24, 2021
If Covid-19 is not mitigated by restrictions or affected by lifting them, as appears to be the case, this only further serves to demonstrate the pointlessness of lockdowns, and vax passports and the mandates. The failure of lockdowns, and now the mRNA ‘vaccine’ should be acknowledged, and this ongoing medical tyranny ended.
The low Covid count in Florida in October irked Democrats who wanted to prove that Florida governor Ron DeSantis is a “mass murderer” for lifting restrictions in May. They assume that political agency has some role in the spread or mitigation of the disease and are likely mistaken in that assumption.
This article explores the question of human influence on the disease and how unproven assumptions of agency and blame are being used politically. The conclusions I arrive at are as follows:
(1) Numerous epidemiological studies (cited below) seem to confirm that lockdowns made no difference at all: the disease goes where it wants to.
(2) SARS-CoV2’s seems to occur in two-month waves and there’s little that we do can stop its spread – which means that all the lockdowns and mandates are pointless, at least from a medical point of view.
(3) Politically, lockdowns and mandates serve an agenda for profit and power, but have no justifiable medical rationale. Destroying our society just to eliminate one disease makes no sense.
Covid and partisan politics: the blame game
About a month ago, as of this writing (late October, 2021) the mainstream media, who support the Democrats and thus vilify Republicans, were irked that Florida, had the lowest Covid rate of any U.S. state. The drop in case counts started in late August.
Ron DeSantis is the high-profile Republican governor of the state. Just as they did with Trump, the Leftist pundits wanted to blame Covid deaths on DeSantis. Negative campaigning is a winning strategy in the cut-throat Realpolitik world of American politics, and Americans never stop campaigning. The state and federal elections are now a full-time job for thousands of pundits on both sides, so it never seems to end.
Several months earlier (in early May) DeSantis lifted all Covid emergency mandates and state-imposed restrictions, making him a prime target for their vitriol. At the time, Covid-19 obliged them: as of mid-July 2021, Florida still had a high case count, which Leftist papers such as Vox were all too happy to lay at DeSantis’ feet, e.g: “. . . rapid reopening led Florida to its current crisis . . . Florida was relatively late in closing down statewide, but it was also among the first to reopen. The state also reopened very quickly — letting restaurants, bars, and other businesses reopen, sometimes at high or full capacity, within weeks of ending its lockdown.”
By August, the pundits, presuming that his actions had some effect on the spread of Covid, were going so far as to call DeSantis a mass murderer. For example, the Daily Kos, said he is a “sociopath pursuing genocide.”
The author of that article continues: “In any sane or just world, DeSantis’s bloodthirsty governance would be drawing comparisons to proponents of ethnic cleansing and mass murderers, not inspiring articles about the jockeying for a presidential nomination three years ago.”
All this is based on the idea that the governor’s actions have a causal correlation to the rise and fall of the disease.
The narrative shifted when Florida case counts dropped
Previous to October of this year, Democrats also were also happy to blame DeSantis for the high death count in Florida.
In reality, the high death count may have been due to the high percentage of older people in the state (21% as of 2020, which is the highest of all states). The state is a haven for snowbirds (retired pensioners). It’s now well established that older people, on the whole, have a higher chance of dying from Covid-19 than other age groups.
Then as Fall 2021 approached, the case and death count in Florida dropped dramatically. Democrat pundits were uncharacteristically silent. Conservative publications threw it back in their faces: Florida now had the lowest case count in the nation.
At this point, Yahoo News published a piece worth paying attention to. The author, Andrew Romano, attributed the low case count to the fact that Covid-19 went where it wanted to, and thus the reduction in cases could not be attributed to DeSantis.
This was a departure for the MSM at this point. Until they had been happy to blame Republicans for high case counts.
This reporter managed to get closer to the truth of the matter than others: SARS-CoV2 carves its own path through its human hosts. It operates in waves, whether or not there are restrictions. That means it will now go up in Florida (and then down again). In fact, this will be the pattern forever, now that it’s here, thanks to the Wuhan lab leak (whether intentional or not).
This is the relevant section of the article:
“Did DeSantis “do” anything to improve Florida’s COVID numbers? And does the state’s 180-degree turn somehow prove that more cautious policies “provide no benefits”? The answer is no.
“It’s doubtful even DeSantis himself would claim he’s the reason Florida is recording so many fewer COVID cases today than in August. The virus, we’ve known for some time, comes in waves — waves that ascend, peak, and ultimately recede on a remarkably consistent timeline.
“According to the New York Times’s David Leonhardt, “Covid has often followed a regular — if mysterious — cycle. In one country after another, the number of new cases has often surged for roughly two months before starting to fall.” And “the Delta variant, despite its intense contagiousness, has followed this pattern.”
“Florida is no exception: Cases started rising there in late June and started falling in late August — right on schedule. Likewise, all the states where COVID cases have fallen the most during the past two weeks — Tennessee, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Texas, Kentucky, North Carolina — are states that endured huge peaks in mid-September. And the higher the peak — the more people recently infected — the sharper the descent.
“Epidemiologists aren’t sure why COVID seems to come and go in two-month intervals. Maybe that’s how long it takes to reach the easiest targets within a particular cluster of humanity; maybe people themselves “follow cycles of taking more and then fewer COVID precautions, depending on their level of concern,” as Leonhardt put it. Probably it’s a bit of both.
“DeSantis’ argument acknowledges all this. Waves of infection are inevitable — and Florida tends to suffer in the summer, when the heat and humidity force people indoors, his proponents say. Insisting on precautions like vaccines and masks won’t stop these waves. So what’s the point of continuing to infringe on people’s freedom?
“There’s a certain logic at work here. One day, experts predict, SARS-CoV-2 will become endemic, spreading seasonally around the globe in ever-evolving variations that might make a lot of people feel ill for a few days but are ultimately much less damaging and deadly because everybody has some degree of immunity through vaccination or prior infection. At that point, mask mandates and vaccine passports will be more trouble than they’re worth.”
The Yahoo reporter then goes on to blame DeSantis for previous Covid deaths, which contradicts the argument he’s just made: if Covid operates in waves, how are politicians responsible for deaths caused by it?
Alex Berenson’s short piece “Virus gonna virus” claims that “government strategies have made NO DIFFERENCE to the spread of this highly contagious but only moderately dangerous respiratory disease.” (full article below)
We as a species tend to want to blame someone – anyone – for bad things that happen. When it comes to things we can’t control, this is little better than the kind of superstitious thinking that in past centuries led people to blame random misfortune, such as sick livestock, on alleged witches. Yes, human beings are able to limit the spread of some diseases, but Covid-19, like the common cold, seems to be impervious to our efforts.
Leftists, in particular, are given to scapegoating and blame-casting. It’s their bread and butter and has been since their movement was created in the 18th century with the Reign of Terror during the French Revolution.
The culmination of their scapegoating was the several genocides in Communist nations in the 20th century. I fear we may yet face another such purge before all this is over. Conservatives and the unvaccinated are high on the list of targets in our part of the world. See “Woke Ideology Mimics Precursors to Totalitarian Slaughter, Experts Say.”
Failure of lockdowns
Along the same lines, a digest of epidemiological studies demonstrated that lockdowns have little effect on viruses. For example, there was “a country-level analysis measuring the impact of government actions, country preparedness and socioeconomic factors on COVID-19 mortality and related health outcomes” in EClinicalMedicine 25 (2020) 100464, which concluded that “full lockdowns and wide-spread COVID-19 testing were not associated with reductions in the number of critical cases or overall mortality.”
Or take the study titled “Covid Lockdown Cost/Benefits: A Critical Assessment of the Literature” by Douglas W. Allen (Working paper, Simon Fraser University, April 2021): “an examination of over 80 Covid-19 studies reveals that many relied on assumptions that were false, and which tended to over-estimate the benefits and under-estimate the costs of lockdown. As a result, most of the early cost/benefit studies arrived at conclusions that were refuted later by data, and which rendered their cost/benefit findings incorrect.
“Research done over the past six months has shown that lockdowns have had, at best, a marginal effect on the number of Covid-19 deaths. Generally speaking, the ineffectiveness of lockdown stems from voluntary changes in behavior. Lockdown jurisdictions were not able to prevent non-compliance, and non-lockdown jurisdictions benefited from voluntary changes in behavior that mimicked lockdowns.
“The limited effectiveness of lockdowns ex- plains why, after one year, the unconditional cumulative deaths per million, and the pattern of daily deaths per million, is not negatively correlated with the stringency of lockdown across countries.”
The same review cites and paraphrases 33 other studies and scientific literature reviews to come to the same conclusion.
One of the international studies concluded that there was “no clear, significant beneficial effect of mrNPIs [restrictive non-pharmaceutical interventions, i.e., lockdowns, masks] on case growth in any country . . . While small benefits cannot be excluded, we do not find significant benefits on case growth of more restrictive NPIs. Similar reductions in case growth may be achievable with less-restrictive interventions.” In other words, lockdowns and masks failed to stop the spread of the disease.
Failure of the jab
The mRNA ‘vaccines’, like the lockdowns, are also failures: they don’t provide immunity and the risk of serious negative side-effects is too great a cost for the benefit they do provide. There are now numerous studies demonstrating this failure, such as that which is referred to in Official Public Health England Data Says COVID Infection Rates Higher in Vaxxed Than Unvaxxed. An American-focused study found that the effectiveness level of ‘vaccine’ is less than 50% for Moderna and Pfizer and 13% for Johnson & Johnson.
Failure of testing
What other factor than the disease’s randomness could account for a low case count? The frequency and accuracy of testing may be a factor. Different districts have different testing frequencies and tests.
One criticism of PRC tests is that the more they’re conducted the higher the case count. Donald Trump said that in a Whitehouse press conference, to account for high numbers in the U.S, so of course, the media and fact-checkers rushed to disprove it in dozens of ‘fact check’ articles.
But fact-checkers omitted from their analysis two factors: (1) if millions of people contracted the disease without knowing it, then more testing equals higher case counts; and (2) if the test cannot distinguish between Covid-19 and other forms of influenza (flu), or for any other reason they give false positives, that could drive numbers up. I am not saying these things are certain, but they are possible.
Partisan fact-checkers always rushed to say the opposite of what Trump said, no matter what, because there was an election on. Now they’re determined for us all to accept the ‘vaccine’ no matter what, and are paid to do so, so their manipulation of data is untrustworthyworty.
The director of the NIH, Francis Collins, says in an article from Sept. 2021 that in the U.S., “many cases went undetected due to limited testing early in the year and a large number of infections that produced mild or no symptoms.” In other words, millions of people had it and didn’t know it. Logically, if testing had increased, more cases would have presumably been detected.
In late September 2020, the Oregon Health Authority, “announced its [state’s] highest number of daily new cases in the pandemic, so far. Omitted from the press release was that the State had received results on more tests in the prior 24 hours than on any other day during the pandemic . . . That prompted the question – what is the correlation between tests and new cases? . . . [Data shows] a correlation coefficient of approximately 95%. Consequently, the number of new cases reported does track closely to the total number of tests given.”
Lastly, the PCR tests are thought by many to be inaccurate, which if so may have driven up case counts falsely. Its own inventor, Kary Mullis, said it was never designed to diagnose infectious diseases. The CDC dropped the test, critics say due to its lack of efficacy; defenders of restrictions contest that. Fact-checkers contest their claims (of course).
A great deal has been written by the media to support people taking the jab. Statistics are used to scare us. Mark Twain said, “There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics.” His point is that the meaning of a statistic can be manipulated to mean whatever the speaker wants to convey. He also said, “facts are stubborn, but statistics are more pliable.”
Public policy driven by irrational fears based on dubious media claims is ruining the world at present. Statistics of this kind can be twisted to whatever powerful people want them to say.
DeSantis, to his credit, sets aside all the statistics and takes a principled stand against restrictions for a very good reason: they’re fundamentally ethically wrong. They restrict human freedoms too much and the USA is a country founded on the idea of freedom for all – including freedom of medical choice.
The First Amendment says “Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances.”
During the lockdowns, freedom of religion, speech, and assembly were all violated by the government. The Founding Fathers did not envision the problem of medical tyranny of they would have written an Amendment for that as well.
The mRNA ‘vaccine’ causes ADE
A scientific paper on this phenomenon states that “Antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE) is a potential concern for vaccines . . . Using molecular modeling approaches, we show that enhancing antibodies have a higher affinity for Delta variants than for Wuhan/D614G NTDs [the original strain of Covid-19] . . . ADE may be a concern for people receiving vaccines based on the original Wuhan strain spike sequence (either mRNA or viral vectors). Under these circumstances, second-generation vaccines with spike protein formulations lacking structurally-conserved ADE-related epitopes should be considered.”
There’s a grave deficiency in the first-generation of mRNA shots leading to ADE, which is precisely what Robert Malone and others predicted. There are two solutions to this problem: stop taking the ‘vaccine’ or refine it. Technologists, including Bill Gates, are opting for the latter, for refinement of the jab, not its eradication.
Gates made remarks in an interview, noting the failure of the ‘vaccine’ to block transmissions. These remarks have been interpreted by some mean that he felt the mRNA shots are a failure, while its supporters have been quick to ‘fact-check’ it away. It turns out, this has been a grand experiment with billions of human subjects, breathtaking in its violation of medical ethics.
ADE is a highly contested point, but entirely plausible, especially if we consider that countries like Israel, Singapore, and Gibraltar, have high Covid case counts, despite high vaccination rates. The one I find most persuasive is Gibraltar, which has 100% vaccination rates but still has a high case count. It’s clear that the ‘vaccine’ itself is the cause of these mutations.
Why are they doing this?
They’re acting as though eliminating Covid-19 must be pursued by any means necessary, and that no cost is too great — including destroying the economy and the Constitution. By that logic, the easiest way to eliminate the disease is to kill the patient. The objective should maximize health, not eliminate one disease no matter what.
If the jab is not working, and it`s not about our health, why is all is this really being done to us? For one thing, it keeps the pharmaceutical corporations in the business. It also gives globalists the opportunity to impose their much-desired Great Reset, their particular vision of the world. And lastly, it has bolstered the Chinese Communist Party’s power and given them an opportunity for world domination — an agenda they’ve not hidden.
Whatever the reason is, Covid restrictions are damaging psychologically and economically. They’re like trying to heal a cut on your finger by cutting your arm off.
They remind me of the soldier during the Vietnam war who said “we destroyed the village in order to save it.” When restrictions destroy the society they’re supposed to save, what good are they? They’re an example of the cure being worse than the disease.
The most enlightened strategy is for nation-states to learn to live with it, sans restrictions, as the UK recently announced it would do.
“Virus gonna virus” by Alex Berenson, Oct. 24, 2021
We are almost two years into the plague di tutti plagues, the virus with a 3 in 1,000 death rate (give or take), which rounds down to roughly 0 in 1,000 for the non-elderly and morbidly obese.
Along the way, lots of different states and countries have pursued lots of different strategies, from Zero Covid [e.g., Australia] to Zero Restrictions [e.g., Sweden, some African states] from early vaccines to late vaccines to (basically) no vaccines.
Two years should be long enough to know who wore it best, amirite? So let’s go to the videotape!
Here’s the United Kingdom (heavy early lockdown, 70% vaccinated, tons of testing, just like the public health people want)
Erm. Not so good.
And here’s India (hard early lockdown, 20% fully vaccinated, very few with mRNA vaccines)
Okay, they had that big spikeroo in the spring, but they don’t look bad. But also they’re relatively young. [I wonder if it was also the use of Ivermectin? But Berenson has a point: if the mean age is less, fewer will die.]
Now here’s Colombia (VERY hard early lockdown, 39% fully vaccinated)
Mother Russia! Clearly some hard lockdowns are in order. And speaking of lockdowns, maybe Australia (SUPER hard lockdowns, explicit Zero Covid strategy, late but aggressive vaccinations) has the answer?
Looking good for a while, Australia… but not so much now.
It’s almost – hear me out, this is gonna sound CRAZEE – government strategies have made NO DIFFERENCE to the spread of this highly contagious but only moderately dangerous respiratory disease.
There is one exception, though.
I give you the People’s Republic of China, without which we wouldn’t be talking about the ro at all. Somehow Xi and Shi, the dear leader and the bat lady, have managed to make Covid go bye-bye – without a single jab of our fancy Western vaccines. [either their Sinovax worked or else they are not reporting Covid cases or not testing for them, or else they succeeded through herd immunity]
Virus gonna virus. And China gonna China.
It’s a miracle, I tell ya. A miracle!
[NB – The hypothesis he’s implying is that the virus goes where it wants to, and restrictions make no difference. I agree with that. It’s plausible, based on the data. There is also another point to make: it could be the high case rates correlate with frequent testing: the more a nation tests, the higher their case counts. It could be that China is not testing. Or if you believe that China planned the whole thing, then perhaps they have eliminated it there, by some means, and have imposed it on the rest of the world, as a prelude to world domination. Given the CCP’s history of genocide, it’s not implausible.]